Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 9.525826e-04 0.001092 0.001234 0.001387 0.001549 0.001712 0.001890
2025-07-27 7.768357e-04 0.000979 0.001192 0.001429 0.001685 0.001950 0.002244
2025-08-03 6.046296e-04 0.000848 0.001113 0.001418 0.001754 0.002109 0.002509
2025-08-10 4.243077e-04 0.000686 0.000985 0.001341 0.001742 0.002173 0.002666
2025-08-17 3.047948e-04 0.000578 0.000907 0.001310 0.001774 0.002280 0.002866
2025-08-24 1.867092e-04 0.000452 0.000795 0.001229 0.001743 0.002312 0.002979
2025-08-31 1.210922e-04 0.000383 0.000743 0.001215 0.001782 0.002419 0.003171
2025-09-07 8.038130e-05 0.000339 0.000719 0.001231 0.001855 0.002562 0.003401
2025-09-14 3.720602e-05 0.000274 0.000660 0.001197 0.001865 0.002630 0.003546
2025-09-21 1.843348e-05 0.000246 0.000647 0.001220 0.001941 0.002773 0.003773
2025-09-28 1.017875e-05 0.000237 0.000662 0.001278 0.002058 0.002962 0.004051
2025-10-05 7.744788e-07 0.000204 0.000635 0.001279 0.002104 0.003068 0.004233
2025-10-12 NaN 0.000138 0.000560 0.001228 0.002106 0.003144 0.004411
2025-10-19 NaN 0.000114 0.000550 0.001266 0.002220 0.003356 0.004749
2025-10-26 NaN 0.000076 0.000506 0.001254 0.002271 0.003494 0.005002
2025-11-02 NaN 0.000032 0.000424 0.001180 0.002238 0.003530 0.005136
2025-11-09 NaN 0.000010 0.000376 0.001150 0.002261 0.003630 0.005344
2025-11-16 NaN NaN 0.000303 0.001074 0.002217 0.003648 0.005453
2025-11-23 NaN NaN 0.000271 0.001060 0.002255 0.003764 0.005677
2025-11-30 NaN NaN 0.000258 0.001075 0.002332 0.003928 0.005956
2025-12-07 NaN NaN 0.000220 0.001043 0.002342 0.004006 0.006133
2025-12-14 NaN NaN 0.000212 0.001065 0.002426 0.004177 0.006419
2025-12-21 NaN NaN 0.000221 0.001119 0.002555 0.004404 0.006773